Trump is Going to Lose

I realize this headline is not welcome news to roughly 45-55% of the people who read this blog. But it’s true. I call it like I see it. Feel free to keep reading, or not. It’s still the truth.

In 2018, I wrote a post comparing Trump to a “red giant” star.

Indian Astrophysicists: Lithium in Interstellar space & Red Giants ...

A “red giant” is a dying star in its last stages of evolution.  It burns up all the fuel at its core and the nuclear reactions move outward.  As the star cools, it expands, swallowing up planets and any other matter that gets in its way.

Donald Trump is the red giant of the 2018 election.  Republicans cannot escape his influence, good or bad.  He won’t let them.  He interjects himself (often intentionally) into every issue and every down-ballot race.  It’s always about him, and thus it will be in November.

https://crosscreekdivide.com/2018/08/14/blue-wave-or-a-red-giant/

Well, that was then. Something happened in 2020.

Coronavirus FAQ: What you need to know about the virus - The ...

It’s still happening. It’s microscopic in size, but this little red ball has absorbed everything in its path. It’s changing our lives, for the worse.

I’m not attempting to blame Trump for America’s Covid woes. A great deal of it is out of his hands, but Europe is going back to work and school, and we’re still struggling across the pond.

Why?

The Buck Stops Here - Tunnel Hill Baptist Church

It doesn’t matter why. All that matters is the problem won’t go away and Trump is still in charge. People will give you the benefit of the doubt for a while, but eventually you need to show them you have a plan to get out of the quagmire. Thus far, Trumps only plan has been to act like the quagmire is a “conspiracy” to stop his re-election.

After I wrote that last sentence, I checked the President’s twitter feed. He posted this one minute ago:

Trump’s inevitable hang-up is that he is facing a problem that cannot be contained in his world of self-centered soundbites.

Americans are not stupid.

They have come to understand that America is bigger than one man.

They want a President who understands that too.

Inside Agitation

I am who I am. I’m a straight, white guy that grew up with many advantages. I won’t apologize for that, as I had nothing to do with it. We don’t get to pick such things. But I’m getting some grey up top, and I have more than a little experience on planet Earth, so I’ll share this. Take it or leave it.

I made the best argument of my legal career in a courtroom in New Albany, Mississippi, while standing a few feet in front of the Mississippi Attorney General, a few years after he had wrongfully convicted an innocent black man of murdering a white man, a few hours after the same A.G. had threatened to put my father in jail for standing up to him. I literally poured out my heart into that courtroom. Strangers hugged me on the courthouse steps afterwards.

We had to wait months for the decision.

We lost.

The Judge didn’t think my argument was worth a damn. I’ve thought about that day a lot, and I know that I couldn’t have done it any better. The law was on our side. The facts were on our side. But we lost. More importantly, our client lost. Such is the case for marginalized people on a daily basis in America.

It’s hard to hope after that.

What is it in us that seeks the truth? Is it our minds or is it our hearts?

I set out to prove a black man could receive a fair trial in the south, that we are all equal in the eyes of the law. That’s not the truth, because the eyes of the law are human eyes — yours and mine — and until we can see each other as equals, justice is never going to be evenhanded. It will remain nothing more than a reflection of our own prejudices, so until that day we have a duty under God to seek the truth, not with our eyes and not with our minds where fear and hate turn commonality into prejudice, but with our hearts — where we don’t know better.

A Time to Kill – Grisham

America is a government of the people and by the people and all of us people are flawed. We’re endowed by our creator with inalienable rights and deceived by evil forces, mainly fear, into thinking that others aren’t. If you’re a minority, you get the short end of this equation more often than not. And so change isn’t going to come from the top. Indeed, it’s less likely to. Those in charge rose to the top by mastering the current system.

So it is not surprising that the protesters want to burn down the system. Just break it, burn it down, and start over. This takes the form of a gas can on the Market House balcony or calls to de-fund police departments across the country. It’s not going to work unless you burn it all down.

If you love America as I do, even with its flaws, you might be more receptive to this closing argument:

Change will come, if at all, by changing the hearts of Americans, and the majority of Americans are decent and good people.

Remember that you are created in the image of God. Seek the truth, not with your eyes or your mind, but with your heart…

…where you don’t know better.

Pray for Georgia (Seriously)

I’ve been disheartened by the amount of animosity thrown at Georgia over the past few days. Their Governor will re-open portions of the state’s economy on Friday and his decision is controversial, to say the least.

It seems that there’s only two options:

  1. Support him.
  2. Hate him. Say he’s killing people for money.

The virus is now a political wedge. It’s Red vs. Blue. Everything is.

Executive leaders carry the power to open and close portions of our society, so the partisan wedge is amplified at all levels of executive government right now. It’s Trump vs. Democrats and Cooper vs. Republicans.

We even see it in Fayetteville, with the only Republican on the City Council, Johnny Dawkins, coming out in favor of re-opening and against Democratic Mayor Mitch Colvin’s curfew order.

I think the common thread in all of this is our tribal desire to be “right.” This comes at a cost. Our need to “win” diminishes our ability to reason. We lose empathy and compassion, and we become less human when we see our fellow man as the opposition. I do it too, sometimes.

But back to Georgia…

Things are a lot worse there. More people are sick. More people are dying.

And so, North Carolinians, I ask that you pray for Georgia. Pray the suffering doesn’t increase, because no true American should ever desire the suffering of his fellow citizens.

Here’s a more practical reason: if Georgia’s “gamble” pays off, it means that the virus is not as bad as we fear.

It means our leadership in N.C. will follow suit.

It means we can put this nightmare behind us.

Even if we were wrong.

C. S. Lewis Quote: “If you could see humanity spread out in time ...

Biden and Basketball

Everyone’s got their own opinion as to why Joe Biden came back from the dead and cleaned up yesterday.

Before I give you mine, let me point out that Cross Creek Divide viewers saw this coming long before anyone else. Our poll from early February predicted Biden would win, back when Biden was polling in the teens nationally and Bernie was running away with it:

So why’d the tables turn so fast? Here’s my take:

Joe Biden ran for President twice before 2020, but he never won a single state in a Presidential primary. People tend to forget his shortcomings because he is universally recognized as Obama’s V.P., and they won, together. But prior to this week, Joe Biden’s solo efforts on the national stage had always come up short.

Joe needed to show that he could actually win. He did that in South Carolina, and then the floodgates opened. He won a lot more yesterday.

It all seems so simple doesn’t it? It is in theory, but it’s hard in practice. To illustrate the point and since it’s March, here’s a basketball metaphor:

A defense won’t guard a player on the perimeter unless he can make a three-pointer. We call this “respecting the shot.” Here’s LeBron James showing no respect for his opponent’s outside game:

Image result for lebron james no respect defense

This isn’t lazy defense by the way. It’s smart. On this play, LeBron’s opponent was goaded into shooting and missed badly.

If you can’t make an outside shot, the defense will continue to sit back and take away your high-percentage (close) shots, and your chances to score dwindle. You lose Iowa, then New Hampshire, and outsiders like Mike Bloomberg start putting campaign offices on Hay Street and using ad-buys to steal your Tar Heel voters.

Speaking of voters, they’re smart. They’re not going to go out of their way to get into your camp unless you can demonstrate that you’re the real deal. With each miss, it starts to look very bleak, very fast.

So how do you get the defense to respect you? You make one three. Just one. It changes the game.

Biden hit a last-minute three in South Carolina and gained respect across the Nation. Doubts about his ability to win were vanquished along with Pete, Amy, and “Little Michael” a few days later. The nomination is now Biden’s to lose.

Someone to Watch

This take is stolen from my wife: Jill Biden will be a serious asset to her husband’s chances this Fall, and she is the perfect “foil” for the Trumps.

Jill is smart, accomplished, and likeable. Women across America will relate to her.

Image result for jill biden protestor

She also stands by her man, literally.

I know Republican readers won’t want to hear this, but Trump’s in trouble. Deep down he knows it. That’s why he spent so much effort trying to keep “Sleepy Joe” from waking up.

It’s going to be a fun ride.